Approval / Adjustment Flow

This is the trust layer. Before any paper or real bet becomes active, Blake should be able to approve, adjust, or reject the strategy clearly.

Candidate set under review

NYC 53° or below
Proposed size: $25 paper notional · suggested confidence: medium-high · rationale: current forecast supports colder bucket
Chicago 42° to 43°
Proposed size: $15 paper notional · rationale: possible market warmth premium, still watchful
Chicago 39° or below
Proposed size: $10 paper notional · rationale: lower-tail optionality, price-sensitive

Adjustment controls

  • Lower total exposure
  • Remove a candidate bet
  • Change paper size per bet
  • Delay until later-day recheck
  • Convert a proposed bet into watch-only

Approval actions

Strategy status: pending_review

Approve strategy Request adjustments Reject / skip day

Approval notes

Example: “Approve NYC only. Keep Chicago on watch and rerun near close.”

Desired behavior

  • Every review decision is stored explicitly
  • Approved bets can flow into paper bet creation
  • Adjustment requests should reopen the strategy cleanly
  • Abstaining should feel like a valid, strong action