This screen closes the loop. It should help answer: were we right, wrong, early, too aggressive, too timid, or just looking at the wrong bet relative to the board?
+3.7%paper P&L this week
61%approved bets profitable
4good abstentions
2repeatable errors found
Recent reviews
NYC cold bucket
Good process. Forecast and board comparison aligned. Position size stayed disciplined.
Chicago tail bet
Edge existed but conviction was overstated. Consider later-day recheck instead of early approval.
Warm-tail chase
Forced action. Market price looked cheap but no forecast support. Avoid repeating this pattern.
What the dashboard should surface
Performance by city
Performance by candidate bucket
Approved vs adjusted vs rejected strategies
Best abstentions
Missed opportunities
Repeated rationale mistakes
How often forecast/market disagreement actually created alpha